Hobart Hurricanes Women host Melbourne Renegades Women in the 9th match of Women’s Big Bash League 2026 at Bellerive Oval on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. The match starts at 7:10 PM local, which is 1:40 PM IST.
Both teams are still chasing their first points after two straight defeats. The Renegades edge it at around 55% confidence, while the defending champion Hurricanes hold home advantage. This HBHW vs MLRW prediction covers pitch, weather, head to head, odds and betting tips.
Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women Prediction at a Glance
A quick look at the HBHW vs MLRW prediction, team form and key match factors before the game.
| Detail | Info |
|---|---|
| Match | Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women, 9th Match, WBBL 2026 |
| Date and time | 4 November 2026, 7:10 PM local, 8:10 AM GMT, 1:40 PM IST |
| Venue | Bellerive Oval, Hobart |
| Captains | Nicola Carey (Hurricanes), Sophie Molineux (Renegades) |
| Head coaches | Jude Coleman (Hurricanes), Gavan Twining (Renegades) |
| Our pick | Melbourne Renegades Women |
| Win chance (our estimate) | Renegades 55%, Hurricanes 45% |
| Live streaming in India | FanCode, TV on Eurosport |
| Broadcast in Australia | Channel 7, Fox Cricket, 7Plus, Kayo Sports |
HBHW vs MLRW Betting Odds and Tips
| Outcome | Win Probability | Our Fair Price |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Renegades Women | 55% | 1.82 |
| Hobart Hurricanes Women | 45% | 2.22 |
These are our own fair prices. Compare them with the live bookmaker odds, and only back a side when the market price is higher than ours.
| Scenario | Powerplay (6 overs) | Projected Total |
|---|---|---|
| Renegades batting first | 38-46 | 135-155 |
| Hurricanes batting first | 36-44 | 130-150 |
- Match winner: The Renegades are slight favourites in our model. Back them at 1.90 or better, and the Hurricanes at 2.35 or better.
- Top batter: Hayley Matthews and Deandra Dottin for the Renegades, Lizelle Lee and Chamari Athapaththu for the Hurricanes.
- Totals: Expect around 140 in the first innings and a powerplay near 40.
- Live betting: Wait for the first six overs, as spin takes most of the wickets here and early spin could swing the market.
- Stakes: Keep them small, because both teams are winless and the XIs are not confirmed.
Fantasy Cricket Picks for HBHW vs MLRW
| Category | Picks |
|---|---|
| Captain choices | Hayley Matthews, Chamari Athapaththu |
| Vice-captain choices | Sophie Molineux, Nicola Carey |
| Core picks | Lee, Dottin, Wareham, Graham, Henry |
| Budget picks | Molly Strano, Tayla Vlaeminck |
HBHW vs MLRW Squads and Predicted Playing XI
HBHW vs MLRW squads and predicted playing XIs, with final lineups confirmed before the match.
- Hobart Hurricanes Women squad: Nicola Carey (c), Lizelle Lee, Maddy Green, Kate Pelle, Chamari Athapaththu, Rachel Trenaman, Heather Graham, Chinelle Henry, Ruth Johnston, Ella Hayward, Hayley Silver-Holmes, Amy Smith, Molly Strano, Lauren Smith, Linsey Smith, Isabella Malgioglio, Ira Aery, Callie Wilson.
- Melbourne Renegades Women squad: Sophie Molineux (c), Nicole Faltum (wk), Courtney Webb, Olivia Porter, Sophie Reid, Hayley Matthews, Georgia Wareham, Chloe Tryon, Deandra Dottin, Annie Wikman, Milly Illingworth, Tess Flintoff, Tayla Vlaeminck, Sara Kennedy.
- Hobart Hurricanes Women predicted XI: Lizelle Lee (wk), Chamari Athapaththu, Nicola Carey (c), Heather Graham, Chinelle Henry, Kate Pelle, Ella Hayward, Molly Strano, Linsey Smith, Lauren Smith, Hayley Silver-Holmes.
- Melbourne Renegades Women predicted XI: Nicole Faltum (wk), Courtney Webb, Hayley Matthews, Deandra Dottin, Sophie Molineux (c), Georgia Wareham, Chloe Tryon, Tess Flintoff, Tayla Vlaeminck, Milly Illingworth, Sara Kennedy.
Final XIs are subject to confirmation at the toss.
Key Players to Watch in Hurricanes vs Renegades
| Player | Team | Role | Why Watch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hayley Matthews | Renegades | Opener, off-spinner | 1,697 runs and 77 wickets in 94 WBBL matches |
| Georgia Wareham | Renegades | Leg-spinner | Player of the series in WBBL |
| Sophie Molineux | Renegades | Captain, left-arm spinner | Leads a spin attack that suits Bellerive |
| Nicola Carey | Hurricanes | Captain, all-rounder | First season as captain after Villani’s retirement |
| Lizelle Lee | Hurricanes | Opening batter | Powerplay aggression drives the Hurricanes’ scoring |
| Chamari Athapaththu | Hurricanes | Sri Lanka all-rounder | Replaces Danni Wyatt-Hodge in the top order |
Bellerive Oval Pitch Report and Toss Prediction
The Bellerive Oval pitch offers a balanced contest, with more help for spin as the innings goes on. The toss prediction covers the likely decision and its impact on the match.
| Pitch Factor | Detail |
|---|---|
| Venue | Bellerive Oval, Hobart (46 matches played) |
| Pitch behaviour | Balanced, spin helps in the middle overs |
| Average first innings score | 141 |
| Average second innings score | 129 |
| Win record | Batting first 52%, bowling first 48% |
| Highest total / highest chase | 212/3 / 189/3 |
| Wickets in last 10 matches | Spin 57%, pace 43% |
Totals near 140 are competitive here. The Hurricanes chased 189 against Perth Scorchers in WBBL|11, so a big chase is possible.
Expect the toss winner to bat first. Batting first has a slight edge, and the average first innings is 12 runs higher than the second.
Hobart Weather Forecast for 4 November 2026
The Hobart weather forecast for 4 November 2026 covers the expected conditions for the WBBL 2026 Season match and their possible impact on play.
| Factor | Forecast |
|---|---|
| Conditions | Mostly sunny |
| Temperature | About 15.4 degrees Celsius |
| Humidity | 53% |
| Rain interruption risk | Low (15% chance) |
A full 20 overs per side looks likely. Check the Bureau of Meteorology forecast before the toss.
Hurricanes vs Renegades Head to Head in WBBL
| Stat | Detail |
|---|---|
| Matches (last 10) | 10 |
| Hobart Hurricanes Women wins | 6 |
| Melbourne Renegades Women wins | 4 |
| No result | 0 |
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | T20 Spring Challenge | Renegades won by 8 wickets |
| 20 Nov 2025 | WBBL | Hurricanes won by 6 wickets (DLS) |
| 21 Nov 2024 | WBBL | Renegades won by 22 runs |
| 10 Oct 2024 | T20 Spring Challenge | Renegades won by 5 wickets |
| 23 Nov 2023 | WBBL | Hurricanes won by 93 runs |
Final Prediction: Melbourne Renegades Women will win this match
- The Renegades have the stronger overseas core in Matthews, Dottin and Tryon, plus Wareham and Molineux for spin, which suits Bellerive.
- They beat the Hurricanes by 8 wickets on 18 October and have won three of the last five meetings.
- The Hurricanes have lost five in a row across the Spring Challenge and WBBL, with a net run rate of -2.625 against the Renegades’ -2.265.
- Home advantage and the champions’ depth keep Hobart competitive, but the Renegades should edge it.
| Prediction | Pick |
|---|---|
| Match winner | Melbourne Renegades Women |
| Win chance | Renegades 55%, Hurricanes 45% |
| Likely margin | Renegades by 3 to 6 wickets or 10 to 20 runs |
| Toss | Team winning the toss to bat first |
| First innings total | Around 140 |
| Player of the Match | Hayley Matthews |
The Renegades’ win probability drops if Matthews and Dottin fall in the powerplay. The Hurricanes’ chances rise if Lee and Athapaththu get them off to a strong start.
Conclusion
Melbourne Renegades Women are the pick for this HBHW vs MLRW clash, thanks to Matthews, Dottin, Wareham and Molineux giving them depth in batting and spin. Hobart Hurricanes are far from finished at home, and Nicola Carey’s side has the champions’ pedigree to turn the season around.
Expect a total near 140 and a tight chase on a spin-friendly surface. Our call is Renegades to win, at moderate confidence. Check odds, confirm the XIs at the toss, and bet responsibly.
FAQs
Melbourne Renegades Women are the likelier winners, with a win chance of around 55%.
The match starts at 1:40 PM IST, which is 7:10 PM local and 8:10 AM GMT.
At Bellerive Oval in Hobart.
The Hurricanes lead 6 to 4 in the last 10 meetings, but the Renegades have won three of the last five.
About 141, on a balanced pitch that helps spin.
On FanCode for streaming, with TV coverage on Eurosport. Some listings also show JioHotstar and Star Sports.
